It was Alan Greenspan who said that, “gold is money in extremis”. By this all understood that when times got tough, gold became money that people could trust. But what constitutes “in extremis”?
History, with hindsight, usually finds it easy to answer such a question. Event with hindsight such a precise tool, it is of no use to investors who don’t have the privilege of using it. For instance it is clear that a year before the last war, no, almost 5 years before the last World War, it was clear that the world was on the path to the war. One year before the war started the Prime Minister of Britain came back from Germany with the cry, “Peace in our time” heralding his belief that there would be no war. On the ground, opinions were divided right up until Germany marched into Poland.